“Great vampire squid” wraps itself around The Social Network.

I’ve wondered when this day would come. The start of a new decade is a fitting time I suppose. New decade. New blood.

On reading the news that Goldman Sachs has led a huge new investment in Facebook, I couldn’t help but recall with some amusement Matt Taibbi’s Rolling Stone article The Great American Bubble Machine, from April last year.

This rollicking take-down investigates how Goldman Sachs has helped engineer every major market manipulation since the Great Depression, including the tech stock bubble of the 1990s, the “housing craze” that lead to the global financial meltdown, the $4 a gallon petrol (or gas in American) bubble, and rigging the financial crisis bailout. The world’s most powerful investment bank is harshly described as:

a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money.

Can you see why, after recalling this article, I seem to have this mental image of a vampire squid wrapped around a big, blue ‘F’?

Goldman Sachs seems to have been just about everywhere within capitalism, including  ‘dot com’, ‘web 1.0′ IPOs leading up to the tech wreck, and now, it’s into ‘web 2.0′, social media.

With that in mind, here’s another harsh evaluation of the bank’s (and government’s) long history from said vampire squid article:

The formula is relatively simple: Goldman positions itself in the middle of a speculative bubble, selling investments they know are crap. Then they hoover up vast sums from the middle and lower floors of society with the aid of a crippled and corrupt state that allows it to rewrite the rules in exchange for the relative pennies the bank throws at political patronage. Finally, when it all goes bust, leaving millions of ordinary citizens broke and starving, they begin the entire process over again

If you agree to any degree with this assessment, does that mean social media is about to be subjected to this? If you don’t, it’s all fine and dandy. I guess we’ll just have to wait and see what happens. I’ll reserve my judgment for later, because I’m not as cynical as you lot.

Any any case, let’s take a quick look at what has just happened with the Goldman Sachs/Facebook deal.

  1. Facebook has just raised $475 million from Goldman Sachs.
  2. In addition, the company intends to raise another $1.5 billion through a “special purpose vehicle” that Goldman Sachs will be initiating, to let its clients indirectly invest in Facebook.
  3. The private sales would value Facebook at around $50 billion.
  4. The minimum investment from clients is expected to be about $2 million.
  5. Goldman’s offering of Facebook shares will surely be watched closely on Wall Street, as it could set an example for other private companies (who don’t wish to go public but still raise a lot of money) to do a similar thing.
  6. A potential investor has said that Goldman is taking about 4.5 percent fee from the money invested into the fund.
  7. By using Goldman’s “special purpose vehicle“, Facebook will avoid having its financial information disclosed to the SEC and published publicly. Its competitors won’t know the details of its earnings.
  8. Using the “special vehicle”, Facebook still gets around $2 billion to use, without going over the 500 shareholder limit for disclosure, by having Goldman Sachs represent the investors on their behalf. Did someone say loophole?
  9. The SEC may intervene and rule that the “special purpose vehicle” circumvents the Securities Exchange Act and require Facebook to then report its earnings.
  10. It so happens that the SEC just last month began an inquiry into the surge of trading shares of privately held Internet companies.
  11. As Mashable points out, if Facebook is required to eventually report it’s earnings, why would it not then just go for an IPO, after of course growing quite a lot more in the meantime?
  12. Goldman Sachs is in the prime position to lead the lucrative IPO, whenever that occurs. Big fees.
  13. As Dealbook points out, an eventual IPO would also unlock CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s huge paper wealth, which Goldman Sachs, as a lead Facebook investor, would have a “leg up” in the assignment of managing post IPO.
  14. No doubt Twitter and other social media companies, and their investors, will be watching this whole developing situation with interest.
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New hedge fund to use Twitter to predict stock market.

Further to my recent post on social media in relation to financial matters, but quite different, is appears that a new British hedge fund in planning to track Twitter in order to attempt to predict the direction of the stock market.

The initiative appears to be based on a recent paper by the University of Manchester and Indiana University, which found that the frequency of certain emotional words could be used, with a high degree of accuracy (87.9%), to predict daily moves in stock markets, between two and six days later.

An exclusive deal has been signed with Dr. Xiao-Jun Zeng, a doctor of computer science at the University of Manchester, to research trading models.

Are you skeptical about how successful this will be? I don’t blame you, but I’m going to try and follow this up to see how well they do in the markets. Apparently the fund is set to start trading with an initial 25 million pounds. Stay tuned.

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FCC approves net neutrality rules – good compromise or welcoming your new ISP overlords?

The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has adopted new rules in relation to net neutrality, or how internet providers handle traffic and various services.

Democrats on the panel have voted to approve the new enforceable net neutrality rules, which will restrict companies such as AT&T, Verizon and Comcast from blocking access to content unfavorable to them.

The Obama Administration has claimed a win in relation to its net neutrality campaign promise, maintaining it represents progress. Others are claiming the measures do not go nearly far enough. Obama has said:

As technology and the market continue to evolve at a rapid pace, my Administration will remain vigilant and see to it that innovation is allowed to flourish, that consumers are protected from abuse, and that the democratic spirit of the Internet remains intact.

Unsurprisingly, Republicans at the FCC and in Congress are opposed to the new measures, with Sen. Kay Baily from Texas labeling it an unprecedented power grab by unelected members. Republican FCC Commissioner Robert McDowell accused the FCC of becoming a vigilante group in order to help Obama with a misguided campaign promise.

However, there has also been disapproval dished out from many net neutrality advocates. The New America Foundation has said the new rules prioritise the profits of corporations such as AT&T over the public, internet entrepreneurs and local businesses. Public Knowledge maintains that the rules fall far short of what they could have been and Free Press has asserted that the rules amount to fake net neutrality. The Institute of Policy Integrity has labeled the new rules “tepid”.

The main criticisms seem to be that while wired broadband providers may not unreasonably (whatever unreasonably means) discriminate against any lawful traffic, the rules don’t apply to wireless providers. Also, “paid prioritisation” has not been banned. This means that providers may be able to set up paid priority access on networks. “Managed services” are allowed over ‘last mile’ broadband. Providers can sell prioritised IP services of any kind.

In short, critics say that the new rules are full of loopholes and grey areas, hence the distinct lack of celebration from net neutrality advocates. As Ars Technica has pointed out, “damning with faint praise” seems to sum up responses from long-time net neutrality supporters.

Read Write Web has a decent rundown of the “six key principles” underpinning the new rules if you are interested in looking a little closer.

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Twitter reveals Top Trending Topics and Most Powerful Tweets for 2010.

In what’s becoming an end of year tradition, if you can call two years in a row a tradition, Twitter has revealed its Top Trending Topics for the year.

The company has also compiled a list of the Most Retweeted tweets, what it asserts to have been the 10 Most Powerful Tweets of 2010, and a tree timeline of some notable people who have joined Twitter over during the year: Who’s New On Twitter.

Twitter 2010: Year In Review

Unsurprisingly, ‘Gulf Oil Spill’, ‘Haiti Earthquake’ and ‘Pakistan Flood’ made it to number 1, 2 and 3 respectively in the News Events section. ‘Wikileaks Cablegate’ appears to have made it to number 7 on the list, even though that particular global brouhaha is still in full swing.

In other topic areas, Apple took out four of the top ten spots in ‘Technology’, and Justin Bloody Bieber took out top spot in ‘People’. Again, no doubt Julian Assange is rocketing up that list at the present time.

Below is a rundown of the Overall Top Trends, if you can’t be bothered clicking the link above and going all the way over to Twitter. I have to say, Inception has been my favourite film for the year too.

  1. Gulf Oil Spill
  2. FIFA World Cup
  3. Inception
  4. Haiti Earthquake
  5. Vuvuzela
  6. Apple iPad
  7. Google Android
  8. Justin Bieber
  9. Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows
  10. Pulpo Paul

A few of the listed 10 Most Powerful Tweets are certainly debatable, but in my book, this one from hit parody account @BPGlobalPR was a real doozie at the time:

Catastrophe is a strong word, let’s all agree to call it a whoopsie daisy.

What’s your favourite trending topic for the year, or favourite Most Powerful Tweet?

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Is social media being used to manipulate financial markets?

In India, the financial regulator, SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India), is planning to use a new suite of software tools to analyse conversations about financial markets in social media.

The software will analyse networks such as Facebook and Twitter, as well as blogs and more traditional social media such as forums. It is thought that some people may be using social media to try to manipulate markets. There has been a sudden rise in the number of cases of alleged manipulation.

SEBI has warned investors against websites offering stock tips, adding that people may expose themselves to undue risk by using unconfirmed information on websites and in social media.

I wonder if the use of such software by regulators to monitor conversations about financial markets and specific stocks will catch on in other countries too?

via The Economic Times

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